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I understand that you have used the var model in Matlab and found it to be very useful. Have you considered expanding your analysis by performing a Monte Carlo simulation on your data? This could provide you with a broader understanding of the potential outcomes and help you identify any weaknesses in your model. Additionally, have you explored the use of other statistical models that might be applicable to your data? By exploring alternative approaches, you may be able to identify new insights and improve the accuracy of your analysis.